BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Murray St
Class: 1 Class Rank: 83 Overall: (32-4) Overall Strength = 43.49
Conference: Missouri Valley Record: (22-1) | District: 1-02 Record: (29-2)
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-03-2025 Home W 43.03 102 61 ZZ 67 ( 0- 1) Trevecca Naz 0.00 * 41.00
2 11-07-2025 Away W * 42.54 79 77 1 135 (21-11) Southern Indiana -0.48 2.48
3 11-11-2025 Away L * 23.41 60 91 1 55 (27- 7) S Dakota St -19.62 -11.38
4 11-15-2025 Home W * 35.19 96 88 1 216 (12-21) Saint Louis -7.84 15.84
5 11-18-2025 Away L 41.38 64 84 1 28 (22-12) Illinois -1.65 -18.35
6 11-22-2025 Home W * 40.35 91 79 1 211 (11-19) Alabama-Birmingham -2.68 14.68
7 11-28-2025 Neutral W * 51.11 88 83 1 65 (23-10) George Mason 8.08 -3.08
8 11-29-2025 Neutral W 35.66 82 77 1 199 ( 5-26) Boston College -7.36 12.36
9 12-03-2025 Away W * 39.15 85 78 1 223 (18-15) Morehead St -3.87 10.87
10 12-06-2025 Away W * 54.68 74 56 1 180 (19-14) Austin Peay 11.66 6.34
11 12-15-2025 Home W * 55.40 85 57 1 226 (10-21) Memphis 12.38 15.62
12 12-20-2025 Home W 43.03 101 44 ZZ 150 ( 0- 1) Lindsey Wilson 0.00 * 57.00
13 12-29-2025 Away W * * 38.01 90 80 1 258 (10-25) Evansville -5.02 15.02
14 01-02-2026 Home W * * 41.76 101 93 2 1 138 (24-14) Illinois St -1.27 9.27
15 01-04-2026 Home W * * 43.11 93 82 2 1 157 (20-13) Bradley 0.08 10.92
16 01-09-2026 Home W * * 39.30 75 71 1 130 (18-14) Northern Iowa -3.72 7.72
17 01-11-2026 Home W * * 55.90 95 67 1 212 (12-20) Drake 12.88 15.12
18 01-15-2026 Away W * * 39.16 87 74 1 282 (10-20) S Illinois -3.86 16.86
19 01-18-2026 Home W * * 58.69 69 48 1 105 (20-12) Belmont 15.66 5.34
20 01-23-2026 Away L * * 25.68 74 89 1 130 (18-14) Northern Iowa -17.35 2.35
21 01-25-2026 Away W * * 34.28 89 88 1 212 (12-20) Drake -8.75 9.75
22 01-29-2026 Home W * * 24.79 79 75 1 282 (10-20) S Illinois -18.24 22.24
23 01-31-2026 Away W * * 50.06 78 71 1 105 (20-12) Belmont 7.04 -0.04
24 02-05-2026 Away W * * 59.35 114 78 1 305 (10-22) Indiana St 16.32 19.68
25 02-13-2026 Home W * * 29.95 95 69 1 353 ( 0-32) Valparaiso -13.08 * 39.08
26 02-15-2026 Home W * * 30.71 79 77 1 197 (14-18) IL Chicago -12.32 14.32
27 02-20-2026 Away W * * 69.48 72 40 1 157 (20-13) Bradley 26.46 5.54
28 02-22-2026 Away W * * 50.13 73 62 1 138 (24-14) Illinois St 7.10 3.90
29 02-26-2026 Home W * * 65.97 115 67 1 305 (10-22) Indiana St 22.94 25.06
30 02-28-2026 Home W * * 41.64 99 80 1 258 (10-25) Evansville -1.39 20.39
31 03-05-2026 Away W * * 36.08 78 76 1 197 (14-18) IL Chicago -6.94 8.94
32 03-07-2026 Away W * * 41.32 100 68 1 353 ( 0-32) Valparaiso -1.70 * 33.70
33 03-13-2026 Neutral W * * 37.66 105 88 1 305 (10-22) Indiana St -5.37 22.37
34 03-14-2026 Neutral W * * 50.99 72 59 1 130 (18-14) Northern Iowa 7.96 5.04
35 03-15-2026 Neutral W * * 46.32 91 70 1 258 (10-25) Evansville 3.30 17.70
36 03-20-2026 Neutral L 33.69 67 99 1 13 (24- 9) Maryland -9.34 -22.66
Averages 43.03 86.0 73.5
Best game: 69.48 = 32 point win over Bradley
Worst game: 23.41 = 31 point loss to S Dakota St
Team stdev: 10.97